Why the Crypto Market is Down Today: Bitcoin Dip, Altcoin Losses, and Key Triggers
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Current Market Snapshot: A Bearish Weekend Spillover
The pain started over the weekend. Bitcoin (BTC) and the overall crypto market cap ended on a low note, and that negativity carried into today. Selling pressure was heavy, but signs of stabilization are emerging. The total market cap is holding steady around $2.92 trillion after the sharp drop.
Bitcoin is trading near $87,619, down from recent highs above $90,000. This pullback shows higher volatility and investor caution. Altcoins are hurting more—Kaia (KAIA) leads the pack with a 20% crash to $0.0762.
- Total Crypto Market Cap: Down $56B to ~$2.92T
- Bitcoin (BTC): ~$87,619 (from $90K)
- Kaia (KAIA): ~$0.0762 (-20%)
Despite the red charts, selling has eased. This could spark a short-term bounce if buyers step in.
Key News Triggers: Scandals and Future Hopes
Bad news often fuels crypto dips. A major US crypto scandal is making headlines. John Daghita, aka “Lick,” is accused of stealing over $40 million from government-seized wallets. He allegedly used access from his father’s firm. Blockchain sleuth ZachXBT linked at least $23 million to one wallet, part of thefts over $90 million in 2024 and 2025. This erodes trust and sparks fear of more hacks.
On a brighter note, Japan is eyeing crypto ETFs. Regulators may approve the country’s first ones by 2028, listing cryptos as ETF assets. Firms like Nomura and SBI plan launches on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, inspired by US spot Bitcoin ETFs. This long-term positive could draw institutional money, but it’s not helping today’s mood.
Macro Factors: Gold’s Rise Puts Pressure on Risk Assets
Crypto doesn’t trade in a bubble. Broader markets matter. Gold just hit new all-time highs above $5,000 per ounce. This signals strong demand for safe-haven assets amid global uncertainty. When investors flee risk, they dump stocks, crypto, and buy gold.
Mixed macro signals mean slow recovery for crypto. Until risk appetite returns, capital won’t flow back into Bitcoin and altcoins easily. Watch traditional markets for clues—if stocks rally, crypto might follow.
Bitcoin Technical Analysis: Wedge Pattern and Key Levels
Bitcoin’s chart tells a story of caution. After a two-week pullback, it formed a broadening ascending wedge. This pattern hints at rising volatility and possible downside breaks.
Bullish Scenario:
- Hold above $87,000
- Break $89,241 resistance
- Target: $90,000+ and $91,298
Bearish Scenario:
- Break below current support
- Next stop: $84,698
Bitcoin is at a make-or-break zone. A Sunday sell-off pushed it here, but recovery is possible if sentiment flips.
Kaia (KAIA) Deep Dive: 20% Drop but Holding Key Support
Kaia suffered the worst among top altcoins, dropping 20% in 24 hours. It broke $0.0797 support and dipped under $0.0721 intraday. Now at $0.0762, it’s volatile but resilient.
Good news: It’s above the 50-day EMA, a sign of underlying strength. This level could act as a floor.
Recovery Path:
- Reclaim $0.0797
- Target $0.0879
Downside Risk:
- Break $0.0721
- Drop to $0.0631
Kaia’s move reflects broader altcoin weakness, but its technicals suggest a potential rebound if the market stabilizes.
Outlook: Recovery Possible, But Watch These Levels
Short-term, the
However, risks remain: Ongoing scandals, gold strength, and technical breakdowns could extend the dip. Stay alert to macro shifts and news.
| Asset | Current Price | Key Support | Key Resistance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin (BTC) | $87,619 | $84,698 | $89,241 |
| Kaia (KAIA) | $0.0762 | $0.0721 | $0.0797 |
| Total Market Cap | $2.92T | – | $3.00T |
What Should Investors Do?
Don’t sell in panic. Use this dip to average down on strong projects. Monitor Bitcoin’s wedge pattern and gold prices closely. Positive news like Japan ETFs could flip the script long-term.
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