What Is Bitcoin Halving? Complete Guide (2025 Update)
What Is ? Complete Guide (2025 Update)
In the ever-evolving world of cryptocurrency, few events generate as much buzz as
Whether you’re a newbie trader, seasoned miner, or curious observer, this complete guide breaks down everything you need to know: from its mechanics and history to impacts on price, miners, and the broader crypto market. We’ll also preview the next event in 2028 and debunk common myths. Let’s explore why
What Is ?
Bitcoin’s total supply is capped at 21 million coins—a digital scarcity modeled after precious metals like gold. Miners secure the network by solving complex puzzles, validating transactions, and adding blocks every ~10 minutes. In return, they earn freshly minted BTC plus transaction fees.
Halving occurs automatically every 210,000 blocks, roughly every four years, cutting the block reward by 50%. It’s not a decision by developers but a rule hardcoded by Bitcoin’s creator, Satoshi Nakamoto, to ensure predictable issuance and prevent inflation.
Why Does Happen?
The core purpose of
Without halvings, Bitcoin could flood the market, eroding its store-of-value appeal. Instead, halvings extend issuance over ~140 years until the last satoshi (0.00000001 BTC) is mined around 2140. Post that, miners rely solely on fees, ensuring long-term network security.
A Timeline of Past Events
Bitcoin has undergone four halvings since 2009. Each has coincided with market shifts, though correlation isn’t causation—macro factors like regulations and hype play roles too. Here’s the history:
- 1st Halving: November 28, 2012 (Block 210,000)
Block reward: 50 BTC → 25 BTC
Price: ~$12
Outcome: Rose to $1,100 by late 2013, kickstarting mainstream awareness. - 2nd Halving: July 9, 2016 (Block 420,000)
Block reward: 25 BTC → 12.5 BTC
Price: ~$663
Outcome: Brief dip, then exploded to nearly $20,000 by December 2017 amid ICO mania. - 3rd Halving: May 11, 2020 (Block 630,000)
Block reward: 12.5 BTC → 6.25 BTC
Price: ~$8,740
Outcome: Surged to $69,000 in 2021, fueled by COVID stimulus and corporate buys like Tesla. - 4th Halving: April 19, 2024 (Block 840,000)
Block reward: 6.25 BTC → 3.125 BTC
Price: ~$64,000
Outcome: Post-halving rally to $126,000+ by October 2025, boosted by spot Bitcoin ETFs and election-year optimism.
Notice the pattern? Short-term volatility often precedes 12-18 month bull runs, with average returns exceeding 500% post-halving.
How Does Technically Work?
The Bitcoin protocol tracks “block height”—the total blocks mined. At multiples of 210,000, the subsidy halves via code in the consensus rules:
block_reward = 50 * 100000000 >> (block_height / 210000);(In satoshis; simplified.) Miners compete via proof-of-work (PoW). The winner adds the block, claims the reward + fees. Halving instantly curbs inflation from ~1.7% pre-event to ~0.85% post-2024.
Impacts of on Price and the Market
- Immediate: Volatility, as miners sell less new BTC.
- Short-term (1-3 months): Possible dips from miner capitulation.
- Long-term (12-18 months): Bull markets, as scarcity narrative dominates.
In 2025, ETF inflows ($50B+ YTD) amplified the post-2024 effect, pushing BTC dominance to 55-60%.
How Affects Miners
Miners face halved revenue overnight. Inefficient operations (high energy costs) shut down, causing hashrate drops (5-30% historically). Survivors consolidate, upgrade ASICs, and benefit from higher BTC prices offsetting losses. Post-recovery, the network grows stronger with efficient hashing.
The Next : What to Expect in 2028
Scheduled for block 1,050,000 (~April 2028), reward drops to 1.5625 BTC/block. As of late 2025, ~120,000 blocks remain (~829 days). Expect similar dynamics: pre-event hype, volatility, then potential rally amid maturing markets like layer-2 scaling and nation-state adoption.
Future halvings (28 more) will dwindle rewards to zero by 2140, transitioning to fee-driven security.
and Altcoin Season
As BTC rallies post-halving, profits flow to altcoins, sparking “altseason.” BTC dominance falls below 50%, with ETH, SOL, XRP surging 10x+. Metrics: 75%+ top-50 alts outperforming BTC over 90 days signals it. Halvings indirectly fuel ecosystem growth.
Debunking Myths
- Myth: Halving guarantees instant 10x gains. Reality: Pumps take months; 2024 saw a 2-month consolidation first.
- Myth: All miners die. Reality: Hashrate recovers stronger; big players thrive.
- Myth: Irrelevant now with ETFs. Reality: Supply shocks still matter in a $2T+ market.
- Myth: Only affects BTC. Reality: Lifts entire crypto via liquidity.
Frequently Asked Questions About
Are halvings bullish?
Long-term yes—supply cuts amid demand drive cycles. Short-term: volatile.
When to buy BTC around halvings?
Dollar-cost average 3 months pre/post for optimal returns. Avoid FOMO peaks.
Will halvings end?
Continue until 2140, then fees sustain miners.
Does it impact other cryptos?
Yes, often triggers altseason.
Conclusion: Why Still Matters in 2025
Ready for the next cycle? Dive deeper into Bitcoin’s protocol and watch for block 1,050,000.
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