COIN stock has been on a rollercoaster ride. After a sharp 42% drop from the October 10 crypto crash, it bounced back strong this year. But now, fresh threats of tariffs from US President Donald Trump on the European Union over the Greenland issue are shaking things up again. Investors wonder: will crash or rally?
President Trump recently warned of 10% tariffs on European countries. The trigger? A dispute over Greenland. This echoes last year’s tariff moves that sparked Bitcoin and crypto selloffs. Markets hate uncertainty, and trade wars top the list.
Bitcoin price fell 3% to $92,000 as news hit about EU plans to hit back with $100 billion in tariffs and restrictions on US firms. This kind of retaliation could hurt global trade and risk assets like crypto.
European stocks dropped hard on January 19. US futures pointed to a lower open, with Nasdaq 100 down over 1%. The buzz around a US-Europe trade war has everyone on edge. Nasdaq-listed faces extra volatility here.
Coinbase pulled support for the US Senate’s CLARITY Act, a key bill for crypto market rules. This comes amid tariff talks and big macro events this week. Traders are staying sidelined.
CEO Brian Armstrong pushed back on rumors. He said the White House never threatened to drop support after a delay in bill markup. Instead, the Trump team has been helpful in fixing issues. Still, uncertainty lingers.
In early 2026, climbed over 10%. It now trades between $240 and $250, fueled by Bitcoin’s rebound and more big institutions jumping in.
Last Friday, it closed up 0.78% at $241.15. Volume was light, under the usual 9 million shares. This shows mixed signals – strength but low conviction.
Analysts see upside despite risks. Average price target sits at $352. Fresh upgrades from Bank of America and Goldman Sachs moved ratings to ‘buy’ from ‘neutral’.
Bank of America holds a $340 target. They like Coinbase’s growth beyond crypto spot trading:
This diversification makes Coinbase more resilient in tough times.
Charts tell a cautious tale. trades below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. Worse, a death cross formed on the daily chart – the 50-day MA crossed under the 200-day.
This pattern often signals bearish moves ahead. If tariffs escalate or courts rule against crypto, a risk-off wave could pull COIN lower.
Not all doom and gloom. Here’s what might spark a rally:
Plus, Coinbase’s base custody and staking grow steadily, even in volatility.
On the flip side, crash triggers loom:
Short-term, expect swings. A break above $250 could eye $280. Below $240 risks a dip to $220.
Longer view stays bullish if crypto adoption surges. Trump’s pro-crypto stance might soften tariff blows. Watch Bitcoin price, tariff news, and volume spikes.
| Scenario | Price Target | Trigger |
|---|---|---|
| Rally | $300+ | BTC rally, analyst buys |
| Crash | $200- | Tariff war, death cross |
is live: crash or rally depends on tariffs resolving fast and crypto holding firm. Coinbase’s strong fundamentals and Wall Street backing offer a floor. Stay tuned for updates as markets react.
Investors, diversify and watch key levels. What do you think – bull or bear for COIN?
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