U.S. stock markets kicked off the new month with strong gains, as the Dow Jones Industrial Average soared more than 500 points. Investors shrugged off sharp drops in Bitcoin and precious metals like gold and silver. This move shows a shift in risk appetite, with stocks drawing cash away from volatile crypto and commodities.
The Dow jumped 515 points, or 1.05%, to close at 49,407.66. The S&P 500 rose 0.54% to 6,976.44, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 0.56% at 23,592.11. Early trading saw dips, but buyers stepped in, pushing all three indices into the green.
Transport stocks led the charge, with the Dow Jones Transportation Average hitting a new all-time high, up 2%. Airlines like United, Delta, and American Airlines surged 4-5%.
Bitcoin fell below $80,000 for the first time since April, trading around $78,000 after a 11% drop over five days. This came after Friday’s rout in gold and silver, signaling risk-off moves amid geopolitical tensions and U.S. policy shifts.
Silver plunged 30% on Friday – its worst day since 1980 – after doubling in 12 months. Gold dropped 11%, with futures hitting lows not seen since early January. Monday saw some recovery:
For crypto investors, this Bitcoin crash below $80K raises flags. It broke support levels, but stocks’ resilience hints at decoupling. Cash rotated from high-risk crypto to stable equities, boosted by earnings optimism.
“Bigger trends like earnings and policy remain positive,” says a top investor. Seasonality and fiscal support keep stocks afloat.
Over 100 S&P 500 firms report this week, including Amazon and Alphabet (both up Monday). So far, 78% beat expectations – the best in years. Deutsche Bank sees double-digit growth for the fifth straight quarter, easing valuation fears.
Disney beat Q1 estimates ($1.63/share vs. $1.57 expected) on parks and streaming strength, but shares fell 7% on international travel warnings. Analysts mixed: Goldman Sachs sees upside at 17x 2026 P/E; others flag weak segments.
Microsoft dipped post-earnings but trades at 23x earnings – a bargain for AI leaders, per experts. Nvidia slipped 3% on stalled $100B OpenAI deal reports, yet CEO Jensen Huang vows big investments.
Robinhood shares cratered 10% as crypto trading – a key revenue driver – weakened. The platform expanded with futures, staking, and tokens last year, but Bitcoin’s pullback hurts. Geopolitical risks and Fed policy bets pushed investors to safer stocks.
Insight for crypto holders: This rotation underscores Bitcoin’s maturing role as a risk asset. When stocks rally on earnings, BTC often lags. Watch for $78K support – a break could test $70K.
Bank of America’s risk-love gauge hit the 95th percentile – a sell signal. Expect consolidation or mild pullback, especially in overextended sectors. But earnings, growth, and policy support risk assets.
U.S. dollar softened to 97.68 (down 10% yearly), bearish per BofA. No panic yet – no “Sell America” across stocks, bonds, dollar. Tensions over Greenland and Trump remarks added pressure.
Silver could chop between $80-$100 before testing $55 breakout level, warns BTIG. Natural gas plunged 20%, adding commodity pain.
ISM manufacturing expanded to 52.6 – first time in a year – beating estimates. New orders (57.1) and production (55.9) hit highs since 2022. Dow rose 100+ points post-data. Jobs report delayed by shutdown.
The Dow surge despite Bitcoin dip highlights shifting flows. Crypto’s volatility contrasts stocks’ earnings-driven stability. Key takeaways:
Factory expansion signals economic health, supporting risk assets including crypto recovery. Watch earnings for rotation back to Bitcoin.
Monday’s rally proves resilience. While precious metals rout and Bitcoin crash spook some, strong data and profits drive markets higher. Crypto traders: Use this dip to accumulate if fundamentals hold. Stay tuned for more updates as earnings unfold.
Markets evolve fast – what’s your take on this stock-crypto split?
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